appen grocery
Krogh-Built Cabinetry
appen dec 2010 Duplicate

School board questions low growth projections in North Fulton


'Whole bunch of space' available for new homes, says Reeves



March 27, 2013
NORTH FULTON, Ga. – School system planners are projecting relatively slow growth in enrollment in Fulton County schools over the next five years, but North Fulton school board members caution they may be ignoring signs of an impending boom.

“[In the city of Milton], there’s a whole bunch of green space there and [builders] are foaming to get applications in,” said Fulton School Board member Katie Reeves, whose districts covers Alpharetta and Milton. “I’ve seen a rapid increase in the amount of yellow zoning signs in the last two months [throughout my district] and it gives me pause as a board member.”

Those sentiments were echoed by Linda McCain, whose Johns Creek district is also seeing an increase in development, particularly in new subdivisions replacing existing, older home sites.

“The new developments are high density, with probably 40 homes going in where there used to be 10 homes,” said McCain.

Enrollment projections for the next five years show North Fulton adding around 1,000 students over the next five years to its current enrollment of 48,100, mainly in elementary and high school grades. Middle school enrollment is expected to decline slightly over the five-year planning period.

Yngrid Huff, director of operational planning for Fulton Schools, noted the system stays in close contact with cities and the county to stay on top of approvals for new subdivisions and housing starts. While planners are aware of applications for rezoning and new construction, the number of students projected to attend schools from those developments is not factored in until the projects are formally approved.

But Reeves said that could be too late to plan for an influx in kids, and urged planners to keep a closer eye on large, undeveloped parcels and their future impact on the schools. She also noted planners should consider trends in housing, as homeowners age and sell their homes to new families.

“North Fulton is going to turn over and older parents are going to downsize and sell to younger families,” said Reeves. “I’m hoping by next month we come back and see some kind of number that would capture more of a long-range look as well as a short term.”

During her presentation to the school board at its March 21 meeting, Huff acknowledged construction has started back up again after bottoming out in 2008, and its effects will be seen throughout the county.

“The housing market is rebounding and housing starts are aggressively increasing,” said Huff. “Over the next five years, expect a system growth of over 5,500 students.”

In North Fulton, the supply of available homes is at its target of a seven- to eight-month supply; down from nearly two years of supply just a few years ago.

Based on five-year projections, Fulton will grow from its current enrollment of 93,820 to 99,300 by the 2017-18 school year, and likely surpass DeKalb County as the third largest school system in the state. By projecting enrollment on a five-year basis, school system planners can determine needs for the coming year, and also create a capital projects plan to determine where growth is occurring and the need for new schools.

Enrollment Projections for North Fulton Schools – 2013-2014 School Year

School                            2012-13 Enrollment     2013-14 Enrollment (proj.)      Difference

Elementary                                                                                                   

Abbotts Hill                    752                                  754                                              +2      

Alpharetta                       617                                  590                                  (27)

Amana *                          477                                  490                                  +13

Barnwell                          796                                  765                                  (31)

Birmingham Falls            653                                  653                                  --

Cogburn Woods              939                                  941                                  +2

Crabapple Crossing        754                                  770                                  +16

Creek View                     1,011                               1,031                               +20

Dolvin                             923                                  934                                  +11

Esther Jackson                632                                  649                                  +17

Findley Oaks                  698                                  694                                  (4)

Fulton Sunshine Acad.*  570                                  600                                  +30

Hembree Springs             782                                  761                                  (21)

Hillside                            724                                  702                                  (22)

Lake Windward               784                                  752                                  (32)

Manning Oaks                787                                  773                                  (14)

Main Street Acad.*         650                                  656                                  +6

Medlock Bridge              669                                  670                                  +1

Mimosa                           1,060                               1,074                               +14

Mountain Park                868                                  843                                  (25)

New Prospect                 591                                  599                                  +8

Northwood                     737                                  716                                  (21)

Ocee                                759                                  763                                  +4

River Eves                       837                                  856                                  +19

Roswell North                1,109                               1,126                               +17

Shakerag                          794                                  809                                  +15

State Bridge Crossing      824                                  839                                  +15

Summit Hill                     789                                  778                                  (11)

Sweet Apple                   751                                  703                                  (48)

Wilson Creek                  871                                  890                                  +19

NF elementary total       23,208                             23,181                             (27)

 

Middle schools                                                                                             

Amana Charter*              176                                  180                                  +4

Autrey Mill                    1,394                               1,407                               +13

Crabapple                       947                                  1,002                               +55

Elkins Pointe                   1,040                               1,069                               +29

Haynes Bridge                690                                  723                                  +33

Holcomb Bridge              801                                  842                                  +41

Hopewell                        1,356                               1,343                               (13)

Main Street Acad.*         161                                  215                                  +54

Northwestern                  1,311                               1,268                               (43)

River Trail                       1,520                               1,469                               (51)

Taylor Road                    1,054                               1,013                               (41)

Webb Bridge                   1,367                               1,337                               (30)

NF middle total              11,817                             11,868                             +51

       

High schools                                                                                                

Alpharetta                       2,100                               2,107                               +7      

Cambridge                       1,080                               1,463                               +383

Centennial                       1,869                               2,010                               +141

Chattahoochee                1,806                               1,871                               +65

Independence                  280                                  268                                  (12)

Johns Creek                    1,970                               1,993                               +23

Milton                             2,179                               2,046                               (133)

Northview                       1,839                               1,874                               +35

Roswell                           2,319                               2,367                               +48

Fulton Science                 259                                  --                                     (259)

NF high school total     15,701                             15,999                             +298

 

North Fulton total        50,726                             51,048                             +322

System total                  93,818                             94,987                             +1,169

 

*charter schools

 

 


printPrint
emailEmail Link
CommentFeedback
shareShare

Tags: Education News & School Sports

READER COMMENTS Submission
When posting feedback please be respectful. Be nice. :
* required value
Your Name*

Town*

Email (not shown on website)*

Subject*

Comment*

Verification*
Identify the animal




Coldwell Banker
Atlas Pools
RECENT CLASSIFIEDS
Moving Sale

MOVING SALE

July 13, 2014 | 09:54 AM
CLOTHING FURNITURE EXERCISE »
Garden/ Lawn

John Deere LT155 - Great Mower

July 12, 2014 | 10:27 PM
2001 Model John Deere LT155 »
Antiques

Antique Queen Bed & Dresser

July 11, 2014 | 08:13 PM
- Queen Bed: Distressed White »

Georgia Automation & Home Theater
appen dec 2010